Economists have been warning of an imminent recession as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to their highest level in over two decades. However, companies like Soergel Orchards in western Pennsylvania are experiencing no slowdown in sales. Amy Soergel, the manager, explains that there is high demand for decorative items like gourds and cornstalks, as well as pumpkins and apples. This unexpected increase in consumer demand is defying expectations for a slowdown and contributing to strong overall growth. The economy expanded at a rate of 4.9 percent in the third quarter, much faster than the anticipated 2 percent growth. While some sectors have felt the effects of the Fed’s attempts to slow down the economy, such as a slowdown in existing home sales, employment rates remain high and consumers continue to spend. The upcoming holiday shopping season will be a significant factor in determining the future course of the economy. The Fed has been trying to slow growth due to prolonged inflation above 2 percent, but they are now closely monitoring consumer strength and the job market. While interest rates are likely to remain unchanged at the next meeting in November, a quarter-point increase is still a possibility if economic data remains positive. Companies are providing mixed outlooks for the future. Some are expecting a strong holiday season, while others are uncertain and preparing for a range of outcomes. The challenge lies in the fact that consumers appear to be divided into two groups, with wealthier consumers continuing to spend while others are more cautious or seek out deals. Retailers are closely monitoring inventory levels heading into the holidays, and there is some concern that winter shopping could be weak. Despite a successful Halloween season, it is uncertain whether this will carry over into the holiday season.